Archive for the ‘Future Studies’ Category

Boone Oakley and the Siteless Site

Wednesday, June 3rd, 2009

Dirk from Cow UK has featured this video/site on This is HERD:

Erin from Yaybia! sent me this amazing YouTube video by US ad agency BooneOakley. The company answered the question of ‘do you actually need a site’ and created a You Tube video instead.

This piece of interactive content has become their whole website. And even better, by making it shareable they’ve actually succeeded in getting other agencies like ourselves (and Darryl and Ben) to embed another agency’s site into theirs!

An excellent idea and in a space where everyone shouts new and different, here is something that really is.

Nokia Point and Find

Wednesday, May 6th, 2009

This is a pretty awesome view of things to come in the future. I’ve mentioned some stuff on Alternative Reality before, but WOW, imagine this…

YouTube – Nokia Point & Find – Beta Labs.

GLOBALNokia Point and Find landed in the UK and USA early last month, and now the folks at Betalabs have put together a neat video highlighting the key features. If you haven’t heard about Point and Find before, it’s a new service that enables you to get up to date info about a product or service, on your phone. Right now info on movies are available, but more products and services will be added over time.

Sophie-Charlotte Moatti talks us through how the service works in the video below. Once you’ve downloaded the app from pointandfind.nokia.com, you can fire it up and point your device’s camera at a movie poster. The app will quickly locate the movie and with it a host of options, including reviews, ratings and even your nearest cinema (the service uses the GPS in your device to work out your location, before suggesting nearest theaters).

Pointing works regardless of the weather and you can even point at an angle – there’s no restriction like having to be right in front of the poster. Alternatively, you can use text entry to access info through the service, simple type in the name of the movie you’d like to know more about. You can even buy tickets to the next show over your device.

The range of supported devices is limited right now, but more will be added in the near future. Alongside products like the E71 and N96, we’ll see support for newer products like the 5800 and N97 coming online before too long. Later in the year there’ll also be a Java client which will work on most S40 devices.

Check it out now at pointandfind.nokia.com. Early users can also leave feedback and suggestions at BetaLabs

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Macrotrends for the web from Om

Tuesday, April 7th, 2009

Om Malik has a couple of pretty key insights into the way the web is moving, he highlights 3 trends that are becoming prevalent – the Read link tells you a bit more about the thinking behind each:

  1. The web is transitioning from mere interactivity to a more dynamic, real-time web where read-write functions are heading towards balanced synchronicity. The real-time web, as I have argued in the past, is the next logical step in the Internet’s evolution. (read)
  2. The complete disaggregation of the web in parallel with the slow decline of the destination web. (read)
  3. More and more people are publishing more and more “social objects” and sharing them online. That data deluge is creating a new kind of search opportunity. (read)

Google May Buy Twitter. Or Not. But Why is Twitter So Hot?.

I definitely agree with Om on those specific trends, but I see it happening because of different reasons. For example, the destination web is a trend I see happening partly due to the increase of niche content, but also because of the Constellations not Destinations theory that I’ve mentioned before. Om’s posts definitely have an impact as well though.

Publishing is also become easier now due to an immense breakdown in the barriers to publshing. While social objects are still few and far between, plus we haven’t really seen any social objects outside of their habitats.

But this in another post in another day.

Razorfish Digital Outlook Report

Tuesday, March 10th, 2009

Just in case you might have missed it, Razorfish has their annual Digital Outlook report out that you can download here.

Jaiku was never about microblogging

Wednesday, January 28th, 2009

This post is a bit dated now – I had planned to publish it on the day of the Jaiku news but it slipped somehow!

I’ve never really thought that the sale of Jaiku to Google was because of being a Twitter competitor. Google isn’t in that game – they think alot more expansive than that. Jaiku is much more than Twitter as it has at its heart location and prezence – something that Google is pressing strongly in all of its apps. Taking this quote by the founder of Jaiku in consideration, we might just see the intended use of Jaiku.

In Jyri’s words:

Soon, anyone, for free and with little effort, will be able to install and modify the Jaiku code, launch it on App Engine, and run their own microblogging platform. Combine that decentralization with standards such as OAuth and the forthcoming activity stream standards, and what we’re seeing here is the accelerating trend away from microblogging being a destination to microblogging being a pervasive and ubiquitous part of the fabric of the web itself.

Let’s wait and see, but I for one am curious to find out.

Jaiku Founder: “We’re Not Dying, We’re Morphing”.

Good Ideas in 2009 in Mobile

Thursday, November 20th, 2008

Video: Good Ideas in 2009 in Mobile | PSFK – Trends, Ideas & Inspiration.

This is quite an inspiring video to watch. Take the 35mins out.

Innovation, the future and why nothing is ever simple

Monday, October 13th, 2008

I’m taking a look at the FOWA presentation of Simon Wardley (link to his blog) and can’t help to think about some of the general experiences that I’ve had with commodities and innovation. In this space that we’re playing in (technology – not really “the web” or “mobile” or “digitial”) it’s very difficult to make an accurate predicition of what will be successful.

Nearly everyone I’ve spoken to has mentioned that academic activity has a low ROI – by the time that a book has been published the knowledge that the text conveys is already old news – what Wardley would term a commodity, so it makes less sense to go study as opposed to working for a year. The logic is that e.g. it takes a student 1 year to complete a research paper, then it takes another 3-6 months for that research paper to be taken up in the class room, and by the time that it is being studied, it’s already old news (and commodified knowledge).

In an industry setup, CMS’s are a dime a dozen – they have become commodities. When I see people building a new CMS for a small microsite I often ask “why on earth?” In this case, spending time and effort on being innovative is useless when the software you are trying to create has already been commoditized. Why not rather use an existing CMS like Wordpress or Joomla?

Some tools however give you a better understanding for adapting quickly and being able to forecast better. Being able to analyse your business landscape and idenitify future impacts early equips you with better tools to make proper decisions. Take a look at the presentation and see which part of your business you are still “re-inventing the wheel”.

Here’s the link: Future Of Web Apps – London 2008.

My last day at 24.com

Thursday, August 28th, 2008

Tomorrow marks my last day at 24.com. I’ve had a fantastic time here, learnt a lot and met some brilliant people. Naspers/MIH/24 is the one company that I’d like to work for at the moment… but I have other plans.

After some deliberation, job interviews and such, I’ve decided to open my own social media and digital consultancy here in Cape Town. I’ll be focused on providing digital context to brands and company’s, with a youth and application slant.

That’s the short of it. Drop me an email for the long part. You can contact me here: unodewaal<at>gmail.com.

The future of software is in hardware and branded web applications

Thursday, July 31st, 2008

Taking a look at this presentation at TED:

Kevin Kelly on the next 5,000 days of the web.

And it’s brilliant. Kevin Kelly orginally starts taking about something that most people call, or understand as, The Singularity. The Singularity is where all computers are connected in some way, and they work together and more importantly, they/it are/is smarter than all the humans put together.

One of the quotes: “By 2040 computer processing power will surpass the processing power of all the humans combined.”

Kelly mentions thinking of devices like your sneakers as “Chips with Heels” and cars as “Chips with Wheels”. I couldn’t agree more. The future of software, and specifically web software, is in tying the offline together with the online. It’s probably always been the case, but now even more so, as we’re finally moving into understanding how the potential.

Image of Internet Fridge

Does anyone remember the Internet Fridge? Fantastic concept, but ridiculously expensive and it never really took off, most probably because there was never the concept of a web application for the actual fridge. I’d want to be able to “zoom” into my fridge, see what I’m buying, how often I’m buying it and what I’m wasting. Should I buy less cheese (because I’m not eating everything before the expiry date)? How long has that piece of chicken been sitting in the back there? Although I like the idea of mustard, am I actually using it?

A fridge that ties in with a web application and that can pick up on your consumption habits and deduce trends is much more exciting than one that just scans the barcode and orders new stuff for you (even if that is kinda sexy).

Nike is doing something similar now with Nike Plus+. It’s the “Chip with Heels” and it’s already here. How about uploading your recent trip into the Kalahari to a site where you can share that, and download other trips? If you were looking for an add on to your Jeep social network then there’s your idea.

In the next couple of years/months we’ll start seeing more apps that add value to users, advertising will move to the sideline and branded web applications will move to the fore.

The Singularity of constantly connected apps won’t come from a single source or actor, but consumers will start to want to be able to share their data on multiple sites. That will mean more open API’s and more need for interoperability. Right at the end Kelly touches on Data Portability when he says you’ll be able to sign in/up to sites without having to put your data in… again. That’s what Facebook Connect is taking mainstream now and what OpenID has been trying to do for the past couple of years.

More on the maturing web- and the decline of banner ads

Monday, June 30th, 2008

Friday drinks are great, drinks in general are great, but drinks with great minds are especially great. Last Friday we moze’d on down to Firemans Arms in Green Point for Beer ‘O Clock with Leezl, Tiaan, Herman and Clint. All people who I love working with.

I wanted to chat about how the web is maturing, how we’re seeing different apps coming from different players, and luckily Clint had already spotted what I was trying to articulate.

The web is maturing, and advertising is changing with that. Read this post by Jackson Fish Market on where they see the web going. The gist of the post is that display advertising is disruptive – placing an ad next to content is the print way of thinking about monetization, branding and advertising. Not only that, but it’s also disruptive. Users are on the site because they want to view the content, not the ad, and you are disrupting them with your popup, overlay, onionskin ad.

Enter the webapp. Web apps are places that people want to be, I want to be on tumblr, I love Slideshare and Last.Fm gets more eyeball time from me than books do. Not only those, but I was devastated when Mymilemarker.com shut down, how else will I track my ridiculous consumption patterns? (I just checked and it’s back up again).

So what that means is that people spending time on web apps want to be there, even if it is a branded environment. You have higher engagement levels, people want to be there, in fact, they even come back! What that means for an agency is that they need to rethink they way that they do branding online. Banner ads are actually really boring. Agency’s need to build web apps that are engaging, that fit with their brand, and offer productivity and utility to the user.

We’ve seen a few webapps already, but mostly not really thinking about “web apps” but still riding the “Social Networking is the be-all-and-end-all” mantra. It’s not about social networks, it’s about utility. Locally, the YoungBlood5 network was an example in a way (it had touches of being an app), but we haven’t seen anything that’s a solid application.

The future of agencies will probably see them building webapps and engaging environments, more so than creating banners, trafficking and managing e-mail campaigns.

It’s also why I get irritated by people wanting to “build social networks for everything”. It’s not about social networks, it’s about social applications. All applications need to be social in some way, but they need to be applications and offer utility.

Some examples of branded web applications (some/most border on Social Networks):

Specialised riders club (built on Rails apparently)
Nike Plus
Youngblood5
MTV Think:
StandardBank ATM locator

Why doesn’t Sasol bring out a MyMileMarker type app? Or VirginActive a health app (they already have the LifeZone stuff, but they can do more)? Rama doesn’t need a food social network, they need a web app that people can use to find recipes.

And finally, just because I know most people won’t read the article, here are Jackson Fish Market’s predictions:

  • even the biggest brand advertisers will realize that creating and maintaining high quality web apps is not a simple proposition
  • they will turn to their ad agencies and their interactive retinue to build these experiences
  • more often than not, these folks will build sites oriented around expensive content, video, and the like
  • brand advertisers will realize that they need the traditional creatives combined with deeper software expertise to make great online experiences
  • some advertisers will bring this in house and in effect become software companies themselves
  • some advertisers will work with companies (like ours) to deliver online experiences that have depth, quality, and utility (some of the agencies over time will build deeper expertise in this area — it’s harder than it looks)
  • and whichever tactical choice a marketer makes, the bulk of online consumer software will be funded directly by brand advertisers